(The Tribune wasn’t the only one to mistakenly call the election for the New York governor; in covering the returns, a leading radio announcer, H.V. My Halloween treat for one and all is 72 years old, dating back to just before Biden’s sixth birthday. President-elect Harry S. Truman laughs heartily as he holds an early edition of the Chicago Tribune for November 4, 1948, with the headline “Dewey Defeats Truman.” A now-famous photograph taken two days after the president’s come-from-behind triumph. Each individual in the sample was inteviewed in person by a professional interviewer to minimize nonresponse bias, and each interviewer was given a very detailed set of quotas to meet. Twice a week we compile our most fascinating features and deliver them straight to you. At the time, evidently, republicans were slightly easier to find and interview than democrats. Second, you COULD compare it, yes. But, as a now-famous photograph would show, everyoneincluding the editors of the Chicago Tribunegot it wrong. "Dewey and Warren won a sweeping victory in the Presidential election yesterday. biggest upsets in U.S. presidential history. But, maybe they were not so off the mark here in 2016? Dewey Defeats Truman! Our rivers are full of fish. President Harry Truman, with wife Bess and daughter Margaret, waving from train during whistle-stop at Pocatello, Idaho in 1948. President Truman was elected with a comfortable margin of 49.6 percent of the popular vote to Dewey’s 45.1 percent. You cannot have freedom without liberty. Numerous polls and pundits predicted a win for the Michigan native, New York governor and prominent gang-busting attorney. Facebook. But, as a now-famous photograph would show, everyone—including the editors of the Chicago Tribune—got it wrong. Meanwhile, Dewey served as governor of New York through 1954 then he returned to practicing law. Dewey, also a Wall Street Lawyer was the eastern establishment’s favorite while Truman had faced a challenge from Henry Wallace, FDR’s former V.P. The surprise victory of the plain-spoken Democratic nominee, Harry S Truman, would become one of the biggest upsets in U.S. presidential history—and it would forever be memorialized, thanks to an embarrassing newspaper gaffe. His civil rights initiatives had alienated the conservative, Southern wing of the organization. 1948. Thurmond, the Dixiecrat, earned 39 electoral votes and 2.4 percent of the popular vote. On Election Day, the newspaper had been required to go to press earlier than usual due to a printers’ strike. Further diminishing Truman’s prospects were divisions within his own political party. Truman defeats Dewey , Nov. 2, 1948. But when polls began to close in the Midwest and plains states, the worm turned: Truman won five states that Dewey had won against FDR. A ‘Dewey Defeats Truman’ Lesson for the Digital Age. November 7, 2020. It is a newspaper front page, dated Nov. 3, 1948, and it carries the immortal headline, “Dewey Defeats Truman.” Like Biden, Thomas E. Dewey was the clear Establishment pick from the start. The Social Science Research Council in 1949 determined four reasons that Gallup and others failed to predict the results. Meanwhile, Truman launched an aggressive, populist-style campaign. Truman also won 49.6% of the popular vote compared to Dewey's 45.1%, while the third party candidacies of Thurmond and Wallace each won less than 3% of the popular vote, … Harry Truman … McCain is at a worse situation than Truman was at the same time, but not much. “Few elections have been more dramatic and decisive than Truman vs. Dewey in 1948. The indications were that the complete returns would disclose that Dewey won the Presidency by an overwhelming majority of electoral votes." Harry S. Truman’s unexpected election victory over Thomas Dewey was forever imprinted in history, thanks in part to a famous photo. Holding the paper, which blared the erroneous banner headline, "Dewey Defeats Truman," Truman flashes a triumphant smile. His record helped in his election to governor of New York in 1942. It was in the station where Truman picked up a two-day-old copy of the Tribune. Back. In the Electoral College, Truman won 303–189. Dewey Defeats Truman¶. "The early returns showed the Republican ticket leading Truman and Barkley pretty consistently in northern and western states. And the Tribune would be the first to report it. This had spurred the formation of the States’ Rights Democratic Party (or Dixiecrats) and the selection of Governor Strom Thurmond of South Carolina as their presidential nominee. The Chicago Tribune felt so confident in the polls that the night of the election, the paper went ahead and printed the following morning's edition with a banner headline that Dewey had defeated Truman. For the 1948 election between Thomas Dewey and Harry Truman, Gallup conducted a poll with a sample size of about 3250. The Gallup, Roper, and Crossley polls all predicted that Dewey would defeat Truman by a significant margin, but in fact, just the opposite happened. But if you see something that doesn't look right, click here to contact us! Twitter. He holds a copy of the Chicago Daily Tribune with the headline "Dewey Defeats Truman." By ANDREW GLASS. Gallup is best known for that one half-century-old blunder. The plain-spoken Truman, a U.S. senator from Missouri before his brief vice-presidency, went on to lead the United States through the end of World War II and the transition to a peacetime economy. Republican New York Gov. One of the most famous failures of political polling occurred in the 1948 presidential election between Harry Truman (the democratic incumbent) and Thomas Dewey (the republican challenger). On election night, this earlier press deadline required the first post-election issue of the Tribune to go to press before states had reported most of the results from the polling places. Throughout the 19th century, newspapers conducted straw polls from their readers to predict presidential elections. Truman died the following year at age 88. and Secretary of Agriculture. I think Truman was down 5 at this time that year and that was about when the last poll was taken. (1) Dewey’s top foreign policy adviser was John Foster Dulles, along with brother Allen and Nelson Rockefeller. The president was on his way back to Washington from Missouri when his train stopped in St. Louis. The surprise victory of the plain-spoken Democratic nominee, Harry S. Truman, … The only really good example for Trump is Democrat Harry Truman in 1948. Trump. Dewey Defeats Truman. What went wrong? In the 1948 election season, Thomas Dewey faced off against incumbent Harry Truman for the presidency, running on the Republican and Democratic ticket, respectively. FACT CHECK: We strive for accuracy and fairness. You see Harry Truman, smiling and victorious after the 1948 presidential election. Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading Dewey Defeats Truman: The 1948 Election and the Battle for America's Soul. Kaltenborn, informed his listeners that even though Truman was ahead, Dewey ultimately would wind up on top.). Journalists at the Chicago Tribune were so convinced that Dewey would win that they prematurely printed the headline "Dewey Defeats Truman… The picture of Truman holding the paper is one of the most famous images in American politics. 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